Yankees vs Mets Prediction 5/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 17, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (28-17, 11-12 Away) won three straight series, defeating the Diamondbacks, Cubs, and Pirates. In Game 1 of this rivarly series against the Yankees, the Mets fell to a 6-2 defeat. Tylor Megill took the loss after allowing four runs on four hits with four strikeouts and five walks in 2.2 innings.

This season, the Mets average 4.60 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .251/.331/.423 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.89 ERA (1st) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .303 batting average, nine home runs, and 36 RBI this season.

Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets on Saturday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 5-1 record in eight starts this year with a 2.36 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 42.0 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (26-18, 14-8 Home) also won three consecutive series, beating the Padres, Athletics, and Mariners. The last two series were on the road, and back home, the Yanks opened the series against the Mets with a 6-2 victory. Paul Goldschmidt led the offense with two RBI, while Carlos Rodon got the win after allowing one run on two hits with five strikeouts and four walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Yankees average 5.82 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .263/.347/.477 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.59 ERA (9th) and 1.18 WHIP (7th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .414 batting average, 15 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Clarke Schmidt, who is 1-1 in five starts this season, with a 4.73 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 26.2 innings.

Why the Mets will beat the Yankees

• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Mets and Yankees.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Yankees’ last 11 games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (180).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.208).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (28).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (146).

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. The Yankees didn’t have problems in Game 1, but that’s going to change on Saturday, as they start Clarke Schmidt on the mound. Schmidt allowed multiple runs in four of his five starts this year, while he allowed a .353 BA in 17 at-bats against the Mets. Griffin Canning, on the other hand, has been excellent this season, allowing four runs in his previous five starts, and I am giving a slight advantage to the Mets because of him.