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Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction 5/17/25 MLB Picks Today

Rockies vs Diamondbacks
May 17, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Rockies +270 / Diamondbacks -340 / Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Rockies are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, May 17th at the Chase Field in the second game of this series, with the Dbacks having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Colorado Rockies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 24-21 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 12-12 home record and are 19-22 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-0 home victory over the Rockies, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and are playing the Dodgers and the Cardinals next.

The Diamondbacks have a .255 batting average this season, a .336 OBP, and a .446 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 54 hits and a team-high 14 home runs. Josh Naylor is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, while Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 34.

Zac Gallen (R) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-5 record, 4.59 ERA, and 1.31 WHIP. He has been weaker at home, with a 5.29 ERA across 6 home starts, and he is coming off another terrible start, where he gave up 4 runs across 5.2 innings pitched in a 1-8 loss to the Dodgers. Zac Gallen is 7-1 with an ERA of 2.59 and 105 strikeouts in 15 appearances against the Rockies in his career.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 7-37 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL West. The Rockies have a 2-21 road record and are 18-25 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-8 road defeat by the Diamondbacks, and are 1-12 in their last 13 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and they are playing the Phillies and the Yankees next.

The Rockies have a .213 batting average this season, a .281 OBP, and a .347 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.80 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.  Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 45 hits, adding a team-high 25 RBI, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Ryan McMahon adds a team-high 6 home runs.

German Marquez (R) will take the mound for the Rockies, and he has a 1-6 record, 8.27 ERA, and 1.70 WHIP. He has been even worse on the road, with a 10.53 ERA across 5 road starts. He is coming off a quality start with just one earned run in 7 innings pitched against the Padres, but he has given up 5+ in his previous five starts. Germán Márquez is 6-6 with an ERA of 4.38 and 130 strikeouts in 23 appearances versus the Diamondbacks in his career.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Rockies have lost 20 of their last 21 road games.
  • The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine home games against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a loss.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 14 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Rockies have won five of their last six Saturday night games as road underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games at Chase Field following a home win.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rockies’ last six games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six Saturday night games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as home favorites against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (93).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (176).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (138).
  • The Rockies rank T1st in the league for triples this season (11).

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Dbacks are 7-2 in their last 9 overall meetings against the Rockies, and are 7-1 in their 8 meetings in Arizona. Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as huge -340 home favorites. The Diamondbacks are rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, as it was shown in a dominating shutout 8-0 victory yesterday.  The Rockies are by far the worst team in the MLB so far, and are putting one of their weakest pitchers on the mound. Gallen has been struggling to start the season for the Dbacks, but he will have no trouble against the worst team in the league. I expect another dominant Arizona win, so take the Arizona Diamondbacks on the runline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5

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