The Chicago Cubs and the Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Cubs Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago Cubs will start Ben Brown in this one, and Brown is 3-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s second career start against Miami. The Miami Marlins will trot out Edward Cabrera here, and Cabrera is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cubs, Cabrera is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA and 39 strikeouts.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to add on to their sweep of the White Sox, thanks to a 6-2 win in Sunday’s series finale to improve to 28-19 on the year. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a division series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Cubs Win Five Of Their Last Six
Ian Happ has 43 hits with 9 doubles, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has 48 hits, including 9 doubles, 4 triples, 10 home runs, and 33 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki also has 42 hits with 10 doubles and 11 home runs and 39 RBIs of his own. Miguel Amaya added 8 doubles and 20 RBIs, and Pete Crow-Armstrong also has contributed 53 hits, 12 doubles, 3 triples, 12 home runs, and 38 RBIs as well this season. Dansby Swanson has added 10 home runs and 26 RBIs, while Suzuki has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Cubs with 55 strikeouts so far this season. Crow-Armstrong also has a team-high 14 stolen bases, while Nico Hoerner has 10 stolen bases this season. Tucker’s also added 12 stolen bases while Michael Busch has also chipped in 7 home runs and 25 RBIs this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Marlins have lost 15 of their last 17 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have won 14 of their last 15 games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Cubs following a home win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five games at LoanDepot Park against teams that held a losing record.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 13 road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ian Happ has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ian Happ has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs’ last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Justin Turner has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Marlins.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 5th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to build on their 5-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays last time out to improve to 18-27 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for an interleague series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Marlins Win Series Vs. Rays
Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 45 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 37 hits with 10 doubles. Otto Lopez has 26 hits with 5 doubles and 3 home runs with 14 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 46 hits with 5 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs, and 30 RBIs, but also has 51 strikeouts, while Mervis has 43 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last 11 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Cubs.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in five of the Marlins’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against the Cubs.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Monday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Kyle Stowers ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.563) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction
I’m on the Marlins and the plus money here. I think Cabrera is a far better starting pitcher than his record and ERA would indicate, and don’t look now, but the Marlins showed some life offensively against the Rays this past weekend. The Cubs are on a nice run themselves, but I just feel like they’re a bit overpriced here. Ben Brown isn’t a pitcher I’m trying to lay this kind of price with on the road, so give me Miami here.