Rockies vs Phillies Prediction 5/21/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 21, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (30-18, 13-10 Away) won seven consecutive series, including the previous two against the Cardinals and Pirates at home. Philly won the opening two games of the current series against the Rockies. In last night’s 7-4 victory, Bryce Harper led the team with two RBI, while Jesus Luzardo got the win after allowing one run on two hits with ten strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Phillies average 4.79 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .260/.337/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (14th) and 1.22 WHIP (12th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .257 batting average, 17 home runs, and 37 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Taijuan Walker, who is 1-3 in six starts this season, with a 2.62 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 34.1 innings.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies (8-40, 5-18 Home) lost the previous series to the Arizona Diamondbacks on the road, but at least they weren’t swept. Colorado is now on a three-game losing skid after losing the first two games of the series against the Phillies. In Tuesday’s 7-4 defeat, Antonio Senzatela took the loss after allowing four runs on ten hits with three strikeouts and one walk in 6.0 innings.

This season, the Rockies average 3.30 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .217/.284/.361 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.85 ERA (30th) and 1.61 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .285 batting average, seven home runs, and 29 RBI this season.

Carson Palmquist will take the mound for the Rockies on Wednesday. The 24-year-old left-hander has a 0-1 record in one start this year with an 11.25 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in 4.0 innings.

Why the Phillies will cover

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 Wednesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Wednesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rockies’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rockies’ last nine games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as road favorites against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.88).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (311).
• The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).
• The Phillies rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (135).

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. The Rockies are going to struggle once again, as they are starting rookie Palmquist, who had a dreadful debut in the MLB, allowing five runs in 4.0 innings in a loss to Arizona. The Philles are excellent against southpaws this season, having a .281 BA with 17 home runs and 68 RBI in 498 at-bats. Taijuan Walker, on the other hand, surrendered just six runs in his last five starts. He already faced the Rockies this year and kept them off the scoreboard for 6.0 innings in the win. Go with the Phillies to win and cover the run line.