In this article we will formulate an Old Dominion vs Texas State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week eight matchup.
Old Dominion Monarchs Betting Preview
The Old Dominion Monarchs are 2-4 (1-1) this year after they defeated Georgia State by a score of 21-14 in their last game. Old Dominion was tied at seven at halftime, but they scored the first 14 points in the second half to pull away for the win. The Monarchs out gained Georgia State by a total of 343-317, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 6-15 on third down in the game. Colton Joseph threw for 141 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also rushing for 98 yards on 11 carries.
Old Dominion also has a win over Bowling Green this season, but they do have losses against South Carolina, East Carolina, Virginia Tech, and Coastal Carolina. The ODU offense has scored 23 points per game with 164.3 passing yards and 172.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.7 points against per game this season. The Monarchs have gone 41.5% on third down and 4-5 on fourth down through six games. Colton Joseph has completed 55.1% of his passes for 441 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Aaron Young has rushed for 301 yards and two scores.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats are 4-2 (2-0) this season after they defeated Arkansas State by a score of 41-9 in their last game. Texas State led 17-9 at halftime, but they were able to pitch a shutout in the second half for the easy win. The Bobcats out gained Arkansas State by a total of 591-384, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Jordan McCloud threw for 320 yards and four touchdowns, while Ismail Mahdi rushed for 164 yards.
Texas State also has wins over Lamar, UTSA, and Troy, but they do have two losses against Arizona State and Sam Houston. The Texas State offense has scored 38.2 points per game with 291.3 passing yards and 186.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.3 points against per game this season. The Bobcats have gone 47.4% on third down and 6-13 on fourth down so far this season. Jordan McCloud has completed 71.2% of his passes for 1,713 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Ismail Mahdi has rushed for 507 yards and two scores.
Why Texas State will cover
- Old Dominion has lost nine of its last 11 home games in October.
- The road team has won four of Old Dominion’s last five games.
- Old Dominion has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games at S.B. Ballard Stadium.
- Texas State has covered the spread in four of its last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Texas State has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas State’s last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Old Dominion’s last seven October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Old Dominion ranks 128th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:42).
- Old Dominion ranks T8th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (80.0).
- Texas State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.3).
- Texas State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+12.2).
Old Dominion vs Texas State Prediction
Texas State rolls into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored at least 38 points in three straight games. The Bobcats struggled on defense against Sam Houston and Arizona State, but they have been pretty solid against Arkansas State, Troy, and UTSA. Old Dominion has won two of their last three games, but I do have worries about their offense. I think Texas State is clearly the better team in this matchup and they should move the ball very easily here. Take the Bobcats on the road.