Minnesota Twins (3-8) vs. Kansas City Royals (6-5)
April 9, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -112 / Minnesota Twins -108; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 9th, at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s take a look at a Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins pick.
Twins Have Issues
The Twins have some major issues, and this season looks like it might almost be over even though it has just started. The Twins only have three wins, and on Tuesday, they managed a grand total of one run. Harrison Bader finished with a hit and an RBI. Pablo Lopez did have a solid start but also got hurt, which is another major concern with the offense. In the first game of this series, they ended up losing 4-2.
The Twins are averaging 3.45 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.82 runs per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 20th. Harrison Bader has been one of the only bright spot, and he has hit three home runs and driven in 10 RBIs. Getting the start for the Twins will be Joe Ryan, who sits with an 0-1 record and an ERA of 4.50. In his last start against the Houston Astros, he went five innings, giving up four runs. He gave up two home runs.
Royals’ Pitching Has Been Good
The Royals’ pitching has been good the last the last couple of games, and they are going to need the pitching to be good again here. On Tuesday, they gave up seven hits but only one run, and they did a good job of getting out of jams. Cole Ragans went six innings, giving up four hits and one run. Salvador Perez finished with only one walk, but he still drove in a run. The pitching needs to make a statement again here.
The Royals are averaging 3.82 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 3.55 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 6th. Seth Lugo, who has a 1-0 record and an ERA of 3.37, will get the start for the Royals. In his last start, he went six innings, giving up five hits and two runs against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Royals Will Beat the Twins
- The Royals have won each of their last 14 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost each of their last eight night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
- The Royals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium following a road loss.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Wednesday night games as home favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last six games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Twins’ last nine games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Royals’ last 18 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six games against American League opponents.
Royals vs Twins Prediction
The Twins’ bats are going to be so ice cold, much like they have been all season, and that is going to be a problem again here. Seth Lugo was really good in his last start, and he’s going to be dominant again here. For the Twins, they send Joe Ryan to the mound, and home runs appear to be a problem again here. The Royals are averaging only 3.82 runs per game, but they are going to score at least three runs here, and it’s going to be the Royals that are going to get the job done here. Back the Royals on the money line.
