In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 8th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 17-19 this year, and they have won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 4-0, 2-1, and 3-4. In their game three loss, the Braves allowed the first four runs in the game and came up just short in their comeback attempt for the loss. Atlanta recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Olson, Albies, and Baldwin, who all had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings in the loss, while Bummer, Lee, and De Los Santos combined for 3.2 scoreless innings out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did win two out of three against the Rockies before that. Atlanta has won three of their last four games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 144 runs with a .240 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with eight home runs and 25 RBIs, while Sean Murphy has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 1-3 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-19 this season after they won game three in this series by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Cincinnati scored four runs in the first four innings, but they didn’t score over the final five innings and barely got the win. The Reds recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Friedl, who went 2-3 with two home runs and two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Greene, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Suter allowed one hit and one earned run over 2.0 innings for the win.
Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Cardinals. Cincinnati has lost four of its last five games, and they are currently tied for second in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and a .212 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 181 runs with a .242 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with five home runs and 25 RBIs, while Austin Hays has added five home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Reds
- The Braves have won five of their last six games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games.
- The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
Why the Reds will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Braves.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Reds following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 16 of the Reds’ last 18 games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six Thursday games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four Thursday appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine games as home favorites.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in eight of his last 10 appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as road underdogs.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Reds as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Will Benson has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Will Benson has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Braves vs Reds Prediction
Atlanta had their small winning streak snapped with the loss on Wednesday, but they will be at home, where they are 11-6 so far this year. The Reds have scored one run or fewer in three of their last four games, but they will face Schwellenbach, who has allowed six earned runs in two of his last four starts. The Braves haven’t been great at the plate in recent games either, and they will go against Lodolo, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of their last four games. Take the over here.