In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 18th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 17-27 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 9-4 and 0-4. In their game two loss, Miami had some chances to score early in the game, but they couldn’t get a timely hit and ended up with the shutout loss. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Hicks and Stowers, who both had two hits in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bachar and Gibson combined for four scoreless innings out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cubs and two out of three against the lowly White Sox. Miami has lost four of its last six games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.44 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 182 runs with a .246 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Matt Mervis has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 2-4 with a 7.00 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-24 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-0 on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay did all of their damage in the fifth inning, as they scored four runs to secure the win. The Rays recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Rasmussen, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks finished the ninth to complete the victory.
Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Brewers. Tampa Bay has won five of its last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 178 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with eight home runs and 20 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added seven home runs and 24 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 3-2 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Rays
- The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 13 Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
Why the Rays will beat the Marlins
- The Rays have won each of their last 15 Sunday day games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have lost 12 of their last 13 home games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 14 games against NL East opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- Danny Jansen has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Marlins vs Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay was able to get a great pitching performance on Saturday for the shutout victory, and they are now 10-7 on the road this year. Miami is just 11-13 at home this season, and they have one of the worst team ERA in the MLB. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. Tampa Bay is going with Baz, who has allowed 3, 6, and 7 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over here.