In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 16, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (24-20, 9-14 Away) are playing their best baseball of the season. The Twins are on an 11-game winning streak after defeating the Red Sox and then sweeping the Orioles, Giants, and the Orioles again. In the most recent 4-0 victory in Baltimore, Dashawn Keirsey Jr. led the team with two RBI, while Chris Paddack got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with three strikeouts and one walk across 7.0 innings of work.
This year, the Twins average 4.14 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .239/.309/.382 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.30 ERA (6th) and 1.16 WHIP (3rd). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .261 batting average, ten home runs, and 27 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Joe Ryan, who is 3-2 in eight starts this season, with a 2.74 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 46.0 innings.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (21-23, 12-7 Home) beat the Houston Astros and lost to the Rays and Guardians. Although they lost five of the previous seven games, the Brewers avoided being swept by Cleveland with a 9-5 victory on Wednesday in Game 3. Rhys Hoskins led the team with five RBI, while Logan Henderson got the win after allowing two runs on four hits with seven strikeouts and one walk in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Brewers average 4.39 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .233/.310/.355 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 4.15 ERA (22nd) and 1.32 WHIP (20th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .205 batting average, seven home runs, and 26 RBI this season.
Chad Patrick will take the mound for the Brewers on Friday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 2-3 record in eight starts this year with a 3.19 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 42.1 innings.
Why the Twins will beat the Brewers
- The Twins have won each of their last 10 games following a win.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three night games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last nine night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.355).
- The Brewers rank 25th in the league for home runs this season (37).
- The Twins rank 5th in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
- The Twins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Brewers vs Twins Prediction
The Brewers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. I am backing the Twins in this one because of Joe Ryan, Minnesota’s best starter. Ryan allowed just two runs in his last three starts and kept the opponents to below two runs in six of eight starts this year. Chad Patrick, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in each of his previous five starts, and I think that rookie is going to struggle on Friday. Go with the Twins.