In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 12th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 26-15 this year after they lost two out of three against Texas by scores of 2-1, 3-10, and 1-6. In their game three loss, Detroit allowed the first six runs in the game, but they did score in the ninth inning to avoid the shutout. The Tigers recorded just four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-3 with one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Olson, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Brieske allowed three hits and two earned runs over 2.0 innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Tigers swept the Rockies in three games and won three out of four against the Angels. Detroit has won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 214 runs with a .255 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added nine home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jackson Jobe, who is 2-0 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 27.2 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 22-20 this season after they won two out of three against the Royals by scores of 1-2, 10-1, and 3-1. In their game three win, Boston trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored the last three runs in the game to seal the win. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Devers, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Rangers, but did lose two out of three against the Twins before that. Boston has won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 205 runs with a .254 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with nine home runs and 31 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 10 home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Red Sox
- The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against the Tigers following a road win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Tigers
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last seven games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against the Red Sox following a loss.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Tigers’ last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
- Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
- Spencer Torkelson ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six Monday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Alex Bregman ranks T5th in the league in Hits (51) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (17).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.15).
- The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for hits this season (370).
- The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (79).
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Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after a rare series loss to Texas over the weekend, but they are still 14-5 at home so far this year. Detroit has had a great start to their season, but they allowed 16 runs in games two and three to Texas. The Tigers are starting Jobe, who has allowed nine earned runs and 12 hits in his last 7.2 innings. Boston is just 11-11 on the road this year, but they are starting to heat up. The Red Sox are starting Houck, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. I really don’t trust either starting pitcher in this matchup, so I am siding with the over here.