The Cleveland Guardians and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Guardians Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cleveland Guardians will trot out Slade Cecconi for the start here, and Cecconi was 2-7 with a 6.66 ERA and 64 strikeouts last season. In his career, Cecconi is 0-1 with a 4.32 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Reds. Chase Petty will get the start for Cincinnati here and is 0-2 with a 21.94 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Petty’s first career start against the Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 series-opening loss at the hands of the Reds on Friday to fall to 25-19 on the year. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Guardians Drop Back-To-Back Games
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 55 hits as part of a .325 batting average and 4 home runs, 9 doubles, and 17 RBIs. Kyle Manzardo has 29 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs, and a team-high 25 RBIs this year. Gabriel Arias has 8 doubles but also 40 strikeouts, and Manzardo has a team-high 41 strikeouts so far this season. Arias has also added 4 home runs and 19 RBIs, and Jose Ramirez has chipped in 8 home runs and 22 RBIs.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as road favorites against the Reds.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Guardians as road favorites.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Steven Kwan ranks T5th in the league in Hits (55) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds look to build on their win over the Guardians from Friday’s clash to improve to 22-24 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Reds Win Back-To-Back Outings
Elly De La Cruz has a team-high 45 hits with 8 home runs, 31 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 43 hits with 6 doubles and 17 RBIs with 8 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 41 hits with a team-high 10 doubles and 19 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 4 home runs and 12 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 6 homers, 16 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 10 doubles this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Will Benson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine home games.
- Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Guardians.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Will Benson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine home games.
- Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Guardians.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Reds vs Guardians Prediction
I’m on the over in this game, easily. You have two questionable at best starting pitching options in Cecconi, who hasn’t started this year and wasn’t good in limited action last year, against Chase Petty. He has been blown up in his two starts so far this season. Add in the hitter-friendly nature of Great American Ballpark, and I just think we’re primed and ready for some runs here. Cleveland’s bullpen hasn’t been as sharp this season, and Cincinnati’s bullpen ERA, in my eyes, which is solid on paper, is unsustainable long term, and I think the over cashes here.