In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 18th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 26-19 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 6-2 and 2-3. In their game two loss, New York tied the game at two in the sixth inning, but they allowed a run in the top of the ninth for the loss. The Yankees recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by LeMahieu and Bellinger, who both had one RBI in the loss. New York started Schmidt, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Cruz took the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Mariners and two out of three against the Athletics. New York has won four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .208 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 258 runs with a .262 batting average and a .347 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 12 home runs and 22 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 6-0 with a 1.11 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 29-17 this year after they picked up a dramatic win on Saturday afternoon. New York scored twice in the fourth inning to take a 2-1 lead, but they needed a sac fly in the ninth to secure the win. The Mets recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Lindor, Alonso, and Vientos, who all had one RBI in the win. New York started Canning, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Garrett picked up the win and Diaz got the save.
Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Cubs. New York has won four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.87 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 210 runs with a .250 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with nine home runs and 37 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added nine home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 2-2 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Yankees will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a win.
- The Yankees have won four of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against AL East opponents.
Why the Mets will beat the Yankees
- The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Yankees.
- The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last 12 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six home games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last eight Sunday games.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
- Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Yankees vs Mets Prediction
Both of these teams have picked up a win in this series, so they will be looking for the series win here. The Mets are 12-12 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 14-9 at home. The Yankees are starting Fried, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. The Mets are going with Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. I like both of these pitchers, and I think runs could be at a premium, so take the under here.