In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 16, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (7-36, 2-20 Away) lost all of their series so far in the season, including the last four against the Giants, Tigers, Padres, and Rangers. They were swept by Texas in three games on the road, scoring just five runs in the process. In the latest 8-3 defeat, Kyle Farmer led the offense with two RBI, while Antonio Senzatela took the loss after allowing six runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and four walks in 4.2 innings.
This season, the Rockies average 3.21 runs per game (29th in the MLB) on a .216/.283/.353 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.73 ERA (30th) and 1.59 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .291 batting average, six home runs, and 25 RBI this season.
Carson Palmquist will take the mound for the Rockies on Friday. It’s going to be his debut in the MLB.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (23-21, 11-12 Home) lost the series to the Phillies and Mets, split with the Dodgers, and then beat the San Francisco Giants in two of three games on the road. In the most recent 8-7 victory, Eugenio Suarez led the team with three RBI, while Eduardo Rodriguez pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on five hits with four strikeouts and three walks. Ryan Thompson was credited with the win.
This year, the Diamondbacks average 5.05 runs per game (5th in the MLB) on a .252/.335/.444 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.71 ERA (24th) and 1.35 WHIP (22nd). Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .284 batting average, 14 home runs, and 31 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Corbin Burnes, who is 2-1 in seven starts this season, with a 2.95 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 39.2 innings.
Why the Diamondbacks will cover
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 14 road games following a loss.
- The home team has won each of the Rockies’ last four games.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Rockies.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last five games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last four games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 17 of the last 21 games between the Rockies and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.444).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (61).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.73).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (283).
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction
The Diamondbacks won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last eight. Colorado is going to start a rookie who has never pitched in the majors before. Carson Palmquist will likely struggle in his first-ever MLB start against a good offensive team, so I am backing the Diamondbacks to secure an easy victory in Game 1 of this series. Corbin Burnes, on the other hand, allowed just two runs in his last three starts and registered four quality starts out of the previous five. Go ahead and back Arizona to win and cover the run line.