In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Angels prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 12, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Angels (16-23, 7-13 Away) lost seven straight series but managed to avoid the eighth with a win over the Toronto Blue Jays at home. However, the Halos returned to losing ways against the Baltimore Orioles. In the latest 7-3 defeat, Tyler Anderson took the loss after allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Angels average 3.69 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .216/.274/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Angels’ staff has a 5.20 ERA (26th) and 1.50 WHIP (28th). Logan O’Hoppe leads the Angels with a .264 batting average, nine home runs, and 18 RBI this season.
Yusei Kikuchi will take the mound for the Angels on Monday. The 33-year-old left-hander has a 0-4 record in eight starts this year with a 3.83 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 42.1 innings.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (25-14, 14-4 Home) won three of their last four series, as they swept the Giants and Pirates, lost to the Yankees, and beat the Rockies on the road. San Diego was aiming for another sweep of the Rox following 13-9 and 21-0 wins, but fell to a 9-3 loss in Game 3. In that one, Manny Machado led the team with two RBI, while Nick Pivetta took the loss after allowing six runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 4.0 innings.
This year, the Padres average 4.62 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .266/.332/.403 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.25 ERA (4th) and 1.17 WHIP (6th). Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Rockies with a .320 batting average, nine home runs, and 23 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Michael King, who is 4-1 in eight starts this season, with a 2.22 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 44.2 innings.
Why the Padres will cover
- The Angels have lost each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have won each of their last nine Monday home games.
- The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Monday games as favorites.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Angels’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last four games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (132).
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.219).
- The Angels rank 30th in the league for walks this season (91).
- The Angels rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (48).
Padres vs Angels Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the last couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I am backing the Padres to win and cover the run line here because they are in much better form than the Angels. Also, I trust King more than Kikuchi. King allowed a 0.67 BA in 30 at-bats against the Angels, while Kikuchi allowed a .298 BA in 57 at-bats against the Padres. Additionally, King surrendered just five runs in his last five starts, and I am sure he will keep the Halos to below three runs here.