In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 18th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 23-24 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-4 and 7-6. In their game two win, Boston trailed 6-2 in the fourth inning, but they rallied in the late innings and won in the bottom of the ninth. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Duran, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Chapman picked up the save in the ninth.
Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost all three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. Boston has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 230 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 23-23 this season after they lost game two by a score of 7-6 on Saturday night. Atlanta led 5-0 in the third and 6-2 in the fourth, but their bullpen fell apart in the last three innings. The Braves recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Olson and Baldwin, who both had two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Montero and Johnson combined to allow three earned runs in the final two innings.
Prior to this series, the Braves won three out of four against the Nationals, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. Atlanta has won four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 185 runs with a .243 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with eight home runs and 27 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added nine home runs and 24 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 2-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Braves
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Sunday home games.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games as road favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 15 games as home underdogs.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as underdogs.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in six of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as home underdogs.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Red Sox as home underdogs.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against AL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last six road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has scored a run in each of the Braves’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Red Sox vs Braves Prediction
Boston was able to snap their losing streak with a comeback victory on Saturday night, and it will look for the series win here. The Red Sox are 12-10 at home this year, while the Braves are 8-16 on the road. Atlanta will look to play a more complete game here, and they will start Schwellenbach, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 13.0 innings. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. This should be another entertaining matchup, but I feel like Boston has all of the momentum and will get another win here.