In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 22, at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (28-20, 15-9 Away) are on a three-series road trip on which they swept the San Diego Padres and beat the Chicago White Sox. In Game 3 victory over the White Sox, Julio Rodriguez led the offense to a 6-5 W, while Logan Evans pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. Casey Legumina was credited with the win.
This year, the Mariners average 4.70 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .236/.324/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.61 ERA (11th) and 1.30 WHIP (19th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .249 batting average, 16 home runs, and 33 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is George Kirby, who will start his first game this season after coming back from a shoulder injury.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros (25-24, 15-9 Home) returned home after facing the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays on the road. The Astros split with the Rangers and lost the series to the Rays. In the latest 8-4 defeat, Isaac Paredes led the team with a pair of homers and three RBI, while Hunter Brown got the loss after allowing five runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Astros average 3.98 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .247/.318/.375 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.38 ERA (7th) and 1.12 WHIP (1st). Isaac Paredes leads the Astros with a .270 batting average, ten home runs, and 28 RBI this season.
Lance McCullers Jr. will take the mound for the Astros on Thursday. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in three starts this year with a 7.88 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in 8.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Astros’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank T27th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Astros rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (445).
- The Mariners rank 27th in the league for triples this season (2).
- The Mariners are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Astros vs Mariners Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Seattle won two of three games played this season, while two of those three produced below eight runs, which is what I expect to occur here as well. George Kirby posted a 1.50 ERA in four starts (24.0 innings) against the Astros last year, and although he could be a bit rusty in his first start of the season, I am backing him to pitch well. Lance McCullers, on the other hand, is slowly returning to his best form, and he should have a solid outing. Seven of Seattle’s last ten games went Under, which was the case in seven of Houston’s previous ten games. Go with Under.