Orioles vs Twins Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will start Simeon Woods-Richardson here, and Woods-Richardson is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s second career start against the Twins. Cade Povich will get the nod for the Orioles here and is 1-3 with a 5.55 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his career, Povich is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 6 strikeouts against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 7-6 win over the San Francisco Giants last time out to improve to 21-20 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for an interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Twins Win Eight In A Row

Byron Buxton has 39 hits along with 5 doubles, a team-high 9 home runs, and 26 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 33 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 19 hits with 6 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 4 home runs and 17 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 54 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 39 hits, 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 21 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 6 home runs and 20 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Willi Castro has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
• Christian Vazquez has recorded a Single in each of his last four road appearances.
• Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this series looking to build on their series win over the Los Angeles Angels, thanks to a 7-3 win in Sunday’s finale to improve to 15-24 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will take on the Washington Nationals in an interleague series at home.

Orioles Drop 6 Of Last 8 Despite Sunday’s Win

Cedric Mullins has 30 hits so far this season, as well as 6 doubles, 7 home runs, and 21 RBIs with 6 stolen bases and a .229 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 27 hits with 4 doubles, 4 homers, and 11 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 29 hits with 8 doubles, and Tyler O’Neill has 15 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, and 2 homers with 10 RBIs. Jordan Westburg added 4 home runs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 38 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 30 hits with 4 doubles and 7 home runs with 14 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 3 homers and 13 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last nine games against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 games after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after going to extra innings.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Twins.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Orioles’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Orioles vs Twins Prediction

I’m on the Twins here. I get the case to be made for the Orioles at home, as Baltimore has a solid lineup on paper. The problem is that on paper hasn’t translated to the numbers to get this team to win more often than not this season. The Twins have done a good job of digging out of their early-season hole, and while I’m not the biggest fan of Simeon Woods-Richardson, I think he can be good enough to get the Twins the W here. Give me the Twins in this one.