Baltimore Orioles (15-30) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (22-25)
May 19, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / Baltimore Orioles -105; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 19, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (15-30, 7-15 Away) are playing their worst baseball of the season after losing the last six games. Following a series win over the Los Angeles Angels, the Orioles were swept in back-to-back series by the Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals. In the latest 10-4 defeat to the Nats, Cedric Mullins led the offense with two RBI, while Zach Eflin took the loss after allowing eight runs on ten hits with four strikeouts and no walks in 5.1 innings.
This year, the Orioles average 3.76 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .231/.298/.388 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 5.52 ERA (29th) and 1.47 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .227 batting average, nine home runs, and 27 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Orioles is Dean Kremer, who is 3-5 in nine starts this season, with a 5.36 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 50.1 innings.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (22-25, 13-9 Home) lost three series in a row after falling to the Rays, Guardians, and Twins. The Brewers were facing a sweep by the Twins at home after losing the opening two games of that series, but avoided it with a 5-2 victory on Sunday. Isaac Collins and Sal Frelick led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Freddy Peralta got the win after allowing one run on three hits with five strikeouts and two walks across 5.0 innings of work.
This season, the Brewers average 4.21 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .228/.305/.343 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 4.14 ERA (19th) and 1.32 WHIP (20th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .199 batting average, seven home runs, and 26 RBI this season.
Quinn Priester will take the mound for the Brewers on Monday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 1-2 record in six starts this year with a 4.59 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 33.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T27th in the league for home runs this season (37).
- The Brewers rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (59).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.276).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (126).
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction
The Brewers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. Even though only two of Milwaukee’s last ten games went Over, I am going with Over in this one because of the pitching matchup. Dean Kremer allowed 16 runs in his last five starts, and I am sure the Brewers will score 3+ runs off him in the opening five innings. Kremer allowed a .321 BA in 28 at-bats against Milwaukee. Quinn Priester posted a couple of strong starts, allowing only a run in each, but surrendered 14 runs in three starts before. I expect both offenses to score multiple runs early on and give us a high-scoring game.
