Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction 5/16/25 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Jack Flaherty for the start here, and Flaherty is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Flaherty is 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 29 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Bowden Francis will get the start for the Blue Jays here, and Francis is 2-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Francis’s first career start against Detroit.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 6-5 win over Boston on Wednesday to improve to 29-15 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for an interleague series with the St. Louis Cardinals.

Tigers Win Three Straight & 8 Of Their Last 10

Spencer Torkelson has 37 hits along with a .240 batting average, including a team-high 11 home runs, 11 doubles, and 34 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 9 home runs and 21 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 10 home runs and 27 RBIs but also has a team-high 49 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 8 doubles, 3 triples, a home run and 16 RBIs of his own along with 39 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 38 hits and 8 doubles as well this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games at Rogers Centre.
• The road team has covered the run line in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last seven road games.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Torkelson ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-3 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays last time out to fall to 21-22 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will welcome the San Diego Padres to town.

Blue Jays Looking For Some Consistency

George Springer has 36 hits and Bo Bichette has 53 hits, with Springer adding 5 home runs, a triple, 10 doubles, and 18 RBIs while Bichette has 14 doubles and 21 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 25 hits with 5 doubles and 3 home runs and 10 RBIs this season, along with 9 stolen bases, while Anthony Santander has a team-high 41 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 5 homers, 8 doubles, and 20 RBIs, while Springer also has a .279 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won 13 of their last 14 night games at Rogers Centre following a home loss.
• The Tigers have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Tigers and Blue Jays.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of his two previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Tigers.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against AL opponents.
• George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games against the Tigers at Rogers Centre.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 night games.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Blue Jays’ last 13 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
• Bo Bichette ranks 7th in the league in Hits (53) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Tigers’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction

I’m on the over here. I get the case to be made for either side here, but you have two starting pitchers that haven’t necessarily been the most reliable options for their respective teams this season. In terms of keeping runs off the board. Bowden Francis has been one of the most home run-prone pitchers in baseball. Despite the Tigers’ stellar record, Flaherty has been on the bump for almost half of their losses as a team this season and has been far less effective on the road. Give me the over here.