Guardians vs Brewers Prediction 5/12/25 MLB Picks Today

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cleveland Guardians meet Monday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Guardians vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Guardians vs Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-21 on the year and play the Twins, Orioles, and Pirates next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .233 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .355 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 45 hits and 25 RBI, while Brice Turang and Sal Frelick have combined for 78 hits and 25 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 23-17 on the year and play the Reds, Twins, and Tigers next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .234 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .382 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 52 hits and 17 RBI while Jose Ramirez and Gabriel Arias have combined for 73 hits and 34 RBI.

Ben Lively gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-2 with a 3.46 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Lively is 0-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Brewers have lost each of their last nine Monday games as road favorites.
• The Guardians have won each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as road favorites.
• The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last three night games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Progressive Field following a home loss.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine games against the Guardians.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games against the Guardians.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in seven of their last eight games against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in each of the Guardians’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Santana has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
• Steven Kwan ranks 4th in the league in Hits (52) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road favorites.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has scored at least one run in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as favorites.
• William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games against AL opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
• Freddy Peralta ranks T10th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Guardians vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are getting the benefit of the doubt because Peralta is on the mound, and he’s been great with a top-15 ERA and top-25 WHIP, but he also hasn’t pitched in eight days. Pitchers usually on a rhythm and a layoff like that could throw him off. Lively has allowed seven hits and one run in his last 11 innings, and the Guardians have won four straight games with him on the hill. One of the better games on Monday’s MLB card, but I’m going to side with the plus money and the home team. Lively is off to a fine start in the month of May, and the Guardians should be eager to rebound after a no show these last two days against the Phillies.