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Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction 5/12/25 NHL Picks Today

Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10) vs. Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)
May 12, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Edmonton Oilers -130 / Vegas Golden Knights 110; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Monday, May 12, at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights (55-25-11, 50-41 ATS) dropped both home games to the Edmonton Oilers, and not only that they lost the home-ice advantage, they also were in jeopardy of losing 3-0. However, the Knights bounced back with a 4-3 victory in Game 3 in Edmonton, thanks to the last-second goal from Reilly Smith, his second in the game. Nicolas Roy and William Karlsson also scored for Vegas, while Adin Hill saved 17 of 20 shots he faced.


The Golden Knights score 3.11 goals per game on average in the playoffs (9th), while they concede 3.44 GPG (10th). This postseason, Jack Eichel leads the team with 10 points (1 G and 9 A). Mark Stone has 8 points (4 G and 4 A), while Alex Pietrangelo chips in with 6 points (2 G and 4 A).

Adin Hill (5-4-0) is expected to start for the Golden Knights at the goal on Monday against the Oilers. The 29-year-old is allowing 3.14 goals per game this playoffs with a .872 SV% and no shutouts.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers (54-32-5, 36-55 ATS) were on a six-game winning streak after defeating the Kings in four straight and opening this series against Vegas with a pair of victories. The Oilers looked unstoppable after those two wins in Sin City, and opened Game 3 at home with a 2-0 lead, but the Knights responded with three goals and then snatched the win as time expired. Corey Perry scored a brace for Edmonton, while Connor McDavid also found the back of the net. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 24 shots he faced.

The Oilers average 4.33 goals per game this postseason (1st), while they allow 3.78 GPG (13th). Connor McDavid leads the team with 16 points (3 G and 13 A). Leon Draisaitl contributes 15 points (5 G and 10 A), while Evan Bouchard has 11 points (4 G and 7 A).

Stuart Skinner (0-3-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Oilers on Monday against the Golden Knights. The 26-year-old is allowing 5.36 goals per game this playoffs with a .817 SV% and no shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last three night games against the Oilers following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Three of the Oilers’ last four games following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last nine games as home favorites.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Golden Knights’ last nine games against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Edmonton Oilers rank T3rd in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (4).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank T4th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.91).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.34).

Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction

The Oilers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. This season, Edmonton leads the series 4-3. All three games of this playoff series were high-scoring and very entertaining, and I expect more of the same on Monday. The Golden Knights are still in a precarious position and cannot afford to lose, as it will be hard to recover from a 3-1 deficit. Both teams will be aggressive, which can lead to a classic shootout and a minimum of seven goals. I am backing the Over.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 6.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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